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Without powering agriculture in a big way, Indian growth
rate cannot be sustained at higher levels. A separate
agenda for the non-corporate sector, which accounts for
40 per cent of the GDP, should also be pursued to achieve
this target of sustained high growth. Recognizing the
gross neglect of proper strategy in the past, our Government
will focus on a judicious combination of infrastructure
and agriculture to achieve a high trajectory of growth.
In the next five years, we
must become a credible partner in Asia's development process
and forge a relationship on equal terms with the major
economic powers of the world-USA, EU and Japan.
In the next three years,
the Government will strive to achieve strong macro-economic
fundamentals; fiscal rectitude where, more than fiscal
deficit, the revenue deficit is controlled; strong and
viable balance of payments; monetary policy designed to
resist unrealistic fall in rupee value; moderate inflation;
and credit availability to industry.
Some priority
items for the national agenda
- The Government will formulate
a system of voluntary compliance with all direct and
indirect tax obligations with test-check assessments
of select cases and expedite conviction of the defaulters.
- The Government will ensure
a day-to-day working relationship with Indian industry
through a structured forum.
- Even as the private sector
will be encouraged to invest in infrastructure, the
Government will also invest in infrastructure. The private
sector has not been a major contributor in this area.
Even in the developed world, the share of the private
sector in such development does not exceed 30 to 40
per cent. For this purpose, the Government will:
• Access the long-term debt market in Insurance and
Pension Funds.
• Set up national-level regulatory bodies for different
areas of infrastructure.
• Bring about more transparency, institute contracts
which are easily enforceable and formulate laws that
simplify the procedures.
It will also:
• Cut non-productive expenditure;
• Disinvest in non-strategic PSUs;
• Control and rationalize subsidies and trim all except
those that benefit the weaker sections;
• Reduce the size of the Government; and,
• Simplify tax laws and widen the tax net.
- The Government will institute
effective anti-dumping machinery to prevent dumping
from abroad and to prevent unfair anti-dumping action
against the country.
- The Government will ensure
that a climate of competition is created in the insurance
sector -- if need be, by involving Indian private sector
in the insurance business.
- The Government will rationalize
the banking sector by creating specialization in unit
banking, retail banking and commercial banking. This
will be done by consolidation and mergers to create
global-size banks and promote efficiency and profitability
to strengthen the Indian banking system.
Resource generation:
fiscal policy and the promotion of savings
All the above tasks will
need large-scale resource mobilization. This will not
only call for the widening of the tax base but also supplementing
it with non-tax revenues. The BJP Government shall innovate
such resource augmentation through motivated savings.
The fiscal policy will aim to prevent the generation of
black money. Tax on services will be reviewed.
We will structure a fiscal
policy that will help generate a higher level of savings.
We will aim to increase the savings rate to 30 per cent
in the next five years.
Eradication of poverty
through generation of jobs
In the next ten years, over
10 crore people will be provided jobs, besides ameliorating
the extensive underemployment and concealed unemployment.
Our strategy will consist of the following:
- A substantially higher
growth rate of GDP of 8 to 9 per cent;
- Emphasis on sectors which
offer large potential for employment, including small-scale,
artisan-based and rural industries etc.
- Opting for projects and
technologies, wherever choices exist, without reducing
productivity, that offer larger employment;
- Increasing productivity
in the informal sector through the support of technology,
credit and marketing;
- Redesigning the special
employment programmes--Integrated Rural Development
Programme, Jawahar Rozgar Yojana, Nehru Rozgar Yojana,
Scheme for self-employment of the Educated Youth, etc.--to
increase their coverage and effectiveness;
- Encouraging the employment
of women;
- Fully involving the private
sector and non-governmental organizations;
- Adopting the institutional
approach of cooperatives, wherever possible;
- Implementing the special
employment programmes through panchayat institutions;
- Vocational training.
Role of Foreign
Direct Investment
The percentage of Foreign
Direct Investment (FDI) to total investment in India during
the years 1991 - 96 is less than 2 per cent and confirms
that even in the post-reform period, national development
has been almost entirely financed by local capital. However,
in areas like infrastructure (particularly energy, roads
and ports), promotion of exports and high-technology industries,
FDI can usefully supplement national efforts. Policies
will be framed consistent with national interest in respect
of FDI. The BJP Government will ensure that FDI flows
into such priority areas and not in areas where the domestic
industry is functioning well. The BJP Government will
frame policies to restrict FDI in non-priority areas.
FDI will be encouraged to promote exports rather than
target the domestic market. FDI is welcome in a non-predatory
role in joint ventures rather than in 100 per cent subsidiaries.
Generally, the role of foreign capital should be in harmony
with and advance, the nation's economic objectives, as
also in line with other Asian countries. Again, until
the Indian economy reaches a level of global strength,
takeovers of existing Indian companies by foreign companies
will not be encouraged and suitable, transparent rules
will be framed to give effect to this policy. Even developed
nations like France, Germany and Switzerland have restrictions
on the takeover of domestic companies.
National agenda
for unincorporated sector
Analysis of India's GDP
| Sector |
Per cent
of GDP |
| Agriculture |
27 |
| Corporate |
12 |
| Government |
21 |
| Unincorporated
sector |
40 |
The following measures are
needed for the unincorporated sector.
- The financing cost for
this sector is phenomenal and they borrow at usurious
interest rates. There is no exclusive, national-level
financing agency for trade activities or for construction
activities. Indian private-sector banks need to be encouraged
and developed in these areas and the Government policies
should facilitate the same. A separate development bank
for this sector will also be considered.
- There is no social security
net for this sector. Unless and until the social security
net is developed for this sector (of course, from the
contributions of this sector), economic reforms will
be a castle built on American sands and the European
air, but not on Indian soil.
- In order to mobilize savings
of this sectors for targeted poverty alleviation programmes,
it would be desirable that full deduction is given for
the traditional commitments of the sector, including
family obligation and contribution of this sector for
temples, mosque, gurudwaras, etc.
- This sector is a target
for all levels of the State machinery like politicians,
policemen, tax officials and municipal authorities.
A national-level awareness programme of this sector's
contribution and a national-level law to guard them
against State excesses should also be formulated.
This sector has the greatest
potentiality to grow with a quantum jump if this agenda
is implemented. Any attempt to increase employment and
to eradicate unemployment must begin here. This sector
at once provides self-employment and multiplies employment.
This single sector has the greatest potentiality to attack
unemployment, poverty and hunger.
Role of Non-Banking
Finance Companies (NBFCs)
The policy on NBFCs has been
ad-hoc and they have been dealt with, at times, in a reckless
manner. The new RBI guidelines preventing NBFCs from accepting
deposits without rating is absurd, as we have not even
developed standards for rating under Indian conditions.
The BJP will review the entire regulation on the NBFCs
and bring about an orderly growth and not planned destruction
of this important segment. This sector alone finances
most of the transportation business and the non-corporate
sector, which is the most important and the largest sector
of the national economy.
Industrial Policy
Reform
THE immediate task of the
new Government will have to be to create conditions for
industry to regain its lost momentum. The BJP recognizes
the need for corrective action on a war footing and attach
particular importance to the interdependence of industry
and agriculture. We will improve inter-sectoral terms
of trade and other linkages so that benefits accrue to
both. The BJP also reiterates the importance of the small-scale
and cottage industry sectors, in view of their contribution
to employment, wider participation and new entrepreneurship.
In order to achieve to above
the objective, the BJP will:
- Further simplify industrial
approvals and remove the plethora of restrictive controls
that now exist. The Industrial Development and Regulation
Act will be replaced by an Industrial Development Act.
The role of the Government will change from the restrictive,
as it has been so far, to one of extending support and
encouragement;
- Encourage research and
development in enterprises as well as in specialized
institutions;
- Permit hazardous industries
only in specified areas. Separate satellite industrial
parks will be set up exclusively for such units;
- Give all encouragement
and support to the small-scale and cottage industry
sectors; and,
- Ensure a healthy capital
market with the twin objectives of increasing capital
investment in the corporate sector and of providing
protection to the investing public.
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